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Am I ready to size up?

A good week is the most common reason traders add contracts, and the worst one. Four checks on your own record. The answer is not yet, hold where you are, or one step up.

Your record at your current size

Your account

    Rules followed
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    Win rate 
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    Likely win-rate range95% range, given this many trades
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    Break-even win rateAt your win and loss sizes
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    Average result per trade
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    Full losses your room coversnow / one contract more
    --

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    Built in your browser from the numbers above. Nothing is uploaded, and the card carries your inputs with it — a result without its assumptions isn't worth passing on.

    The four checks, and why each one
    1. At least 30 trades at this size. Fewer than that and your win rate could be almost anything. A hot streak looks exactly like skill over ten trades.
    2. Rules followed on at least 90% of trades. If you break your rules at this size, a bigger size makes every break cost more. Fix that first.
    3. The bottom of your likely win-rate range is above break-even. That’s the point where your record shows a method that makes money, not just a good run.
    4. Your room still covers 10 full losses at one contract more, and one more contract is within the firm’s limit. Losing streaks don’t care that you just sized up.

    These numbers are our rule of thumb, written down so you can see them. If your own rules are stricter, use yours.

    Why only one step

    One contract more is a step you can undo. If your rules score drops or a losing run starts at the new size, go back down and run this check again after another 30 trades. Traders who jump from 2 contracts to 5 on a good week usually give it back faster than they made it.

    How it’s calculated
    rules followed = trades that followed every rule / trades break-even win rate = average loss / (average win + average loss) likely range = Wilson 95% interval on winners / trades full losses covered = room left / (risk per contract x contracts)

    Nothing you type is sent anywhere.

    What this can’t tell you
    • The future. A record that passes all four checks still describes the past.
    • Whether your numbers are honest. Leave out the bad trades and it will happily tell you to size up.
    • Your firm’s other rules. Daily loss limits, scaling plans and news rules can all cap your size too. Check them.

    Educational tool only. This is arithmetic on numbers you type in — it is not investment advice, it does not predict anything, and it has no opinion on what you should trade. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and most people who try it lose money. Past results, including your own, do not predict future results. Verify contract specifications with your broker and your account rules with your firm; both change.
    The journal keeps your rules score and win-rate range up to date as you log, so this check takes a glance. Journal & Workbook, $39 →

    Free · one page

    Prop firm rules checklist

    The questions to answer from a firm’s own rules page before you buy an evaluation. Drawdown type, daily limit, consistency, payouts, every fee.

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    The other free tools — no signup, nothing sent anywhere

    The Desk (new)Write your rules once, then check each trade against them. Yes or no, with the reason.What it has cost you so farEvery evaluation, reset and monthly fee against every withdrawal. The net.Evaluation simulatorTen thousand simulated evaluations on your numbers. How often do you pass?Consistency rule calculatorYour best day is too big a share. How much more, and the day size to stay under.Payout-day checkCan you request a payout yet? Qualifying days, consistency, buffer and limits.Prop firm rule decoderWhere the line that closes your account actually sits, and what open profit costs you.The one-page rulebookRules specific enough that a trade either followed them or it didn't.Position size calculatorContracts, dollar risk, and the copied-account multiplier.Drawdown runway calculatorHow many maximum-loss days your account can survive.What do your trades actually prove?Your win rate over a small sample is mostly noise. Find out how much.

    Nobody pays us to send you anywhere.

    We take no referral fee, affiliate commission or rebate from any prop firm, broker or platform. So we never rank firms, and the tools are free to give you the unflattering answer.

    The Rules Desk Workbook cover beside the Journal’s Review tab

    Where these numbers live the rest of the week · $39

    Journal & Workbook

    The same arithmetic in a 500-row trade log that keeps score: your win-rate range, break-even, average result per trade, results by setup, and what rule breaks cost you. Plus an 18-page printable workbook.

    One spreadsheet, one PDF. Instant download, no subscription.

    See what’s in it

    Or wait for the full Desk

    The free Desk checks each trade against your rules today. The full version reads your record back each week. One email when it opens, nothing else.

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